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TWO INFLATIONS – ONE HEADING NORTH, ANOTHER SOUTH

By Ruma Dubey about 2 hours ago
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Common sense says that when retail inflation or CPI is high, the price in the Wholesale market (WPI) has to also be high as that’s where good come from, isn’t it? But in economics, common sense does not always work. What we have observed most of the times is that they both move in completely opposite direction

HERA PHERI OR INTELLIGENT ADVICE – YOU DECIDE

By Ruma Dubey about 1 day ago
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Usually, when sanity prevailed, once a company posts dismal earnings, the most logical reaction would be a fall in the stock price as most would rush to sell. But the exact reverse seems to be the working mode in the markets.

WHAT IS THE "NEW NORMAL?"

By Ruma Dubey about 2 days ago
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Yes, we have learnt a few lessons and continue learning but whether we will stick to it once corona goes? Now that extremely debatable. And are we going to revamp and modernise our health care? Till date there has been no talk about this; so yeah, we don't know what lessons will be learnt.

JUNE IIP – CONTRACTION BUT GETTING BETTER

By Ruma Dubey about 3 days ago
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IIP for June’20 came in at -16.6% though analysts say that it is better than the -20 to -22% most had expected. This is like saying a flood is better than a famine – both anyway indicate devastation.

BUFFETT BUYS HIS FAVOURITE STOCK – HIS OWN!

By Ruma Dubey about 4 days ago
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Buying back his own shares is in direct contrast with the $13 billion he made by cashing out on his entire aviation stock – the highest selling he made in 10 years. This cashing out made the already cash-flush Berkshire more so – its cash pile jumped up from $137 billion to a record high of $147 billion.

URBAN POOR – BIGGEST TRAGEDY OF THE PANDEMIC

By Ruma Dubey about 7 days ago
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This is just a small glimpse into the plight of people; the human story of the pandemic. Apart from the disease itself causing havoc, the way it has upended lives of people is unimaginable. The human tragedy which we see around us today is huge – the poor have got poorer, all the rich have not got richer and the middle class

RBI GETS FULL MARKS!

By Ruma Dubey about 8 days ago
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RBI did the right thing today, not falling prey to market pressures. And once again, the RBI Governor has proved that there is a lot more that the central bank can do to ensure financial stability without depending merely on rate cuts. This was a very mature and deeply thought-out policy and we will see the benefits panning out from the second half of FY21.

ALL EYES ON RBI

By Ruma Dubey about 9 days ago
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A 25 bps rate cut might not change anything in our lives but psychologically it will mean that at least someone has your back. A quick thought – interest rates are already at a 20-year low and no one is buying and the banks are also reluctant to lend, so, will a further rate cut really help?

MARKETS IN ‘DON’T WORRY BE HAPPY’ MOOD

By Ruma Dubey about 10 days ago
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The market has regained all that it had lost yesterday. And we are left scratching our heads. What was it about yesterday that led to the market crash and what is it about the markets today that its bounced back so sharply?

MONA IS NOT GOING TO BRING OUT THE SONA!

By Ruma Dubey about 11 days ago
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Why does the Govt keep its eye on the gold which Indian households own? Most women and retired people we spoke to are pretty miffed that the Govt is now looking at the gold held by people to save the country. That call, during the freedom struggle made sense and all contributed without compunction. But today...

RIL Q1FY21 - JIO SAVES THE DAY

By Premium Bureau about 15 days ago
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Reliance Industries results for Q1FY21 were announced today evening and the one-time gain on account of stake sale in BP plus a lower tax outgo saved the day. It is Reliance Jio which saved the day as all other segments had a disastrous quarter.

RIL - ESTIMATES FOR Q1FY21

By SP Tulsian about 16 days ago
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Reliance Industries will present its Q1FY21 earnings tomorrow, 30th July. And as is the ritual, we present our estimates for the quarter. The earnings are on a consolidated basis.

PRINTING MONEY – NOT A GOOD IDEA

By Ruma Dubey about 17 days ago
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Printing money or put in intelligent sounding economic parlance, ‘Quantitative Easing’ (QE), is what many are saying is the only solution for India to emerge out of this pandemic morass. The virus continues to rage and as the date for the vaccine keeps on looking like the boat on the horizon

RBI FSR - STABILITY ON TREACHEROUS GROUND

By Ruma Dubey about 18 days ago
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The financial sector as a whole took a beating on the back of the Financial Stability Report (FSR) released by RBI on Friday evening. And it has not painted a pretty picture. We hate to be doomsday sayers but there is indeed trouble on the horizon.

CEMENT STOCKS – BUILDING UP

By Ruma Dubey about 24 days ago
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Look around – do you see any construction happening? Do you see infra projects happening at a frenzy? Are houses being built at the same levels as last year? The common answer to all these questions is a BIG ‘NO.’ Yet, today, the market has decided to look at the brighter side of the ACC numbers for June quarter and stock price is up in the green

JUNE TRADE SURPLUS – EXACTLY LIKE 20 LAKH CRORE STIMULUS!

By Ruma Dubey about 25 days ago
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Putting forth a rosy picture which does not exist, just because you decide to look at it “differently” doesn’t mean that things are good. There is a desperate need to listen to some good news, something which lifts this feeling of gloom and doom but gift wrapping a dud, and presenting it like a Kohinoor diamond doesn’t make sense

TCS OR INFOSYS OR WIPRO?

By Ruma Dubey about 28 days ago
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The Q1FY21 earnings of the top three frontline companies is out. And the market has shown amply that it’s a thumbs up – the worst was expected and compared to that, all three have done relatively well.

MARKETS RISING IN TANDEM WITH CORONA!

By Ruma Dubey about 29 days ago
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The markets are the ground realities are two completely different things. The corona cases are spiking to new highs every single day and the markets continue with their gallop; its like the market and India live on two different plateaus. And this is explained by punters in a quick and easy way - “market had already discounted the fall and is now looking ahead!”

RELIANCE 43RD AGM – NEWSMAKER OF THE DAY!

By Ruma Dubey about 30 days ago
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Reliance AGM. This has become a huge, big event. In normal circumstances itself, it’s the most watched event on the Indian business channel and now with many still working from home, held via video conferencing, it looked like all were glued to it.

THE WEEK AHEAD – THINGS LOOK WEAK

By Ruma Dubey about 1 month ago
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People of the world are waiting for a cure or vaccine. The markets are awaiting new triggers. With no big economic boost expected any time soon, the markets are looking for short term reasons to rise and fall. Afterall, the market is an embodiment of human sentiments and like humans, it needs hope too.